Friday 19 September 2014

Scotland's indepencence vote - a civil "war"

I voted "no" to independence yesterday, 18th September.  But not because I don't think Scotland could be independent.  Here's why:

I've said it again and again over the last few years: There is no reason why Scotland should not be independent.  There are plenty of examples worldwide of small and prosperous nations - Switzerland, Singapore to name but two.  But the Scottish Nationalist Party is socialist; indeed, I believe it harbours communists.  One of its most famous communists was the poet Hugh MacDiarmid who wrote some wonderful poetry in the Scots language (not Gaelic), and I believe quite a number of the Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) have quietly continued to adhere to his views.

I know of no instance of a socialist society that has also been prosperous in the long term.  Arguably the greatest thinker and economist of any time from any part of the world, a Scot, Adam Smith, born in Kirkcaldy, lived Edinburgh, said that profitable societies work due to the "invisible hand" of commerce being allowed to operate freely.  In a nutshell, we all do what we need and want to do, and by and by everything humanity needs and desires is produced, developed, designed, implemented.  This is Capitalism.  It seems to me that this is largely how the USA worked up till the turn in the 1990's, with a few hiccups along the way.  Its what made her a superpower.

Socialists, on the other hand, meddle, fudge, build ever bigger government (the US is now in a socialist trend - Obamacare, for example), get into more and more debt, build ever bigger government to hunt down ever more money to pay for their experiments - a vicious circle.  It doesn't work.  The Englishman, Thomas Paine, probably the most enlightened revolutionary who ever lived said, "Society in every state (of being) is a blessing, but government even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one...".  With his support and writings, George Washington roused and inspired a rabble of cold, wet and hungry farmers to stand up to the biggest empire the world had known up to that time, and kick it out!  Good riddance!  Paine was and is right!

I voted against the intolerable evil of big, socialist government - not against the idea of independence per se.

So why do I say that Scotland is now in a civil "war"?  Simply this; nearly half of the population seems to want one thing (55%), the other half the opposite (45%).  Or that's what they think.  I really don't believe most Scots have drawn the distinction I have between Socialism and bigger government on the one hand, and prosperity with independence on the other.  There will be a price to pay for this, and Alex Salmond and the SNP will be blamed by history for the troubles to come.  However, the SNP is really only symptomatic of a greater trend; the loss of confidence in governments across much of the world, and the backlash against the corruptness of it all.

There will be a reckoning.  Investors will struggle to find safety for capital, let alone a return.  The situation will only favour traders, but a good many of them will loose their shirts, too.

Can I take heart from the fact that the overall turnout to vote was a staggeringly high 85%?  Are Scots democrats?  Or, as some commentators have said, did they really just vote for their pensions and self-interest?  I really don't know, but they couldn't be blamed for it.  But I do know that how it plays out won't be predictable or especially pleasant.

How depressing.